The primary objectives of the climate risk assessment are:
Identify and analyze current and projected climate risks affecting Kenya's agricultural productivity and sustainability
Assess the vulnerability of key crops, livestock, and farming systems to these risks.
Evaluate existing adaptation strategies and their effectiveness in mitigating identified risks.
Recommend actionable measures to enhance resilience and adaptive capacity within the agriculture sector.
Provide an overview of available climate financing mechanisms and recommend the most suitable ones.
Develop a climate risk mitigation and adaptation strategy, with particular focus on Agriculture and Climate financing options.
Scope of Work
The consultant will undertake the following tasks:
Climate Risk Assessment
Data Collection: Gather relevant data on climate variability, projected climate impacts, sectoral vulnerabilities, and existing climate-related risks from both national and international sources.
Climate Modelling: Utilize climate models and projections to assess future climate scenarios for the agricultural sector.
Risk Identification: Identify and categorize key climate risks and vulnerabilities for sectors (e.g., agriculture, water, infrastructure, health).
Vulnerability Mapping: Map vulnerable regions, communities, and critical infrastructure exposed to climate-related risks.
Impact Analysis: Assess the potential economic, social, and environmental impacts of these climate risks.
Policy and Institutional Review
Policy Analysis: Review existing climate-related policies, strategies, and programs at the national and local levels.
Institutional Framework: Evaluate the roles and capacity of institutions responsible for climate risk management, adaptation, and financing.
Gap Analysis: Identify gaps in existing climate risk management frameworks and policies.
Climate Financing Assessment
Climate Finance Landscape: Provide an overview of the current landscape of climate financing mechanisms (e.g., Green Climate Fund, Adaptation Fund, private sector investments, international development finance).
Access Criteria: Analyze the eligibility criteria and access requirements for various climate financing sources.
Strategy for Financing: Develop a strategy to enhance access to climate financing, including recommendations on policy adjustments, institutional improvements, and project preparation.
Climate Risk Mitigation and Adaptation Strategy
Adaptation Measures: Recommend specific adaptation measures to address the identified risks, with a focus on enhancing agricultural and livestock resilience and sustainability.
Risk Mitigation: Propose mitigation actions that can reduce greenhouse gas emissions and contribute to sustainable agricultural and livestock development.
Integration with National Plans: Ensure the recommendations align with national climate action plans and international commitments (e.g., NDCs, SDGs).
Specific tasks to be undertaken
Reviewing existing literature on climate risks in Kenyan agriculture.
Analyzing historical climate data and future projections to assess potential impacts on agriculture.
Assessing the availability and accessibility of green financing options for farmers and agribusinesses.
Identifying barriers to effective utilization of green financing in the agricultural sector.
Engaging with stakeholders, including government agencies, financial institutions, and farming communities, to gather insights and validate findings.
Methodology
The assessment will employ a mixed-methods approach:
Data Collection: Compilation of meteorological data, agricultural production statistics, and socioeconomic information.
Climate Modeling: Utilization of downscaled climate models to project future climate scenarios specific to Kenya.
Risk Analysis: Application of tools such as the Agricultural Risk Assessment framework to identify and prioritize risks.
Use of GIS: Utilizing Geographic Information Systems (GIS) for spatial analysis of climate impacts.
Stakeholder Engagement: Conducting qualitative assessments through interviews and focus group discussions with key stakeholders.
Benchmarking: Benchmarking against best practices in climate risk assessment and green financing from comparable regions.
Report Preparation and Presentation
Interim Reports: Submit progress reports at key stages of the assignment (data collection, analysis, strategy formulation).
Final Report: Prepare and submit a comprehensive final report detailing:
Overview of climate risks and vulnerabilities
Assessment of the policy and institutional environment
Climate financing opportunities and strategies
Recommended climate risk mitigation and adaptation measures.
Presentations: Present findings to key stakeholders, including government officials, development partners, and private sector representatives.
Deliverables
Inception Report: Including detailed work plan, methodology, and approach.
Interim Report(s): Regular updates and drafts on progress, findings, and initial recommendations.
Final Report: A comprehensive document detailing the findings of the climate risk assessment, financing strategy, and adaptation/mitigation measures.
Climate Financing Strategy: A strategic document outlining the climate finance pathways.
Presentation Materials: PowerPoint presentations or other visual formats for stakeholder engagement.
Policy Briefs (optional): Summarized documents outlining key findings for policy-makers.